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Mon, Sep 305:10 pm UTCTruist Park
74 F
Track OnCBS Sports
New York
Mets
NYM
Last 5 ML
W/L89-73
ATS84-75
O/U82-75-5
FINAL SCORE
8
-
7
Atlanta
Braves
ATL
Last 5 ML
W/L89-73
ATS75-86
O/U59-94-9
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
89-73
Win /Loss
89-73
84-75
Spread
75-86
82-75-5
Over / Under
59-94-9
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
NYM @ ATL
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MONEYLINE
NYM @ ATL
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OVER / UNDER
NYM @ ATL
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8%
PUBLIC
92%
MONEY
14%
PUBLIC
86%
MONEY
Over82%
PUBLIC
Under18%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Point SpreadN.Y. Mets +1.5 -164
WIN
Unit1.0
+359
12-6 in Last 18 MLB Picks
+314
6-2 in Last 8 MLB ATS Picks
+1470.5
42-21-1 in Last 64 NYM ATS Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Both teams will go all-out in Game 1 to avoid having to care in Game 2, but the Braves are holding out Chris Sale for the opener as in an ideal world they don't use him until the Wild-Card Round on Tuesday. To me, that's such a huge break for the Mets they better take advantage. Both Game 1 starting pitchers, Tylor Megill and Spencer Schwellenbach, have been terrific in September. I simply think this is a low-scoring one-run game either way and don't have to care which club wins with this wager if that's the case.

Pick Made: Sep 30, 1:32 pm UTC on FanDuel
Over / UnderUnder 7.5 -102
LOSS
Unit1.0
+400
4-0-1 in Last 5 MLB O/U Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Braves starter Spencer Schwellenbach has dominated the Mets twice and looks great right now. The Mets will have trouble against him again. Tylor Megill has actually thrown pretty well lately and the Mets will be aggressive with their best relievers. This feels like a very low-scoring game.

Pick Made: Sep 30, 2:52 am UTC on DraftKings
Money LineAtlanta -154
LOSS
Unit1.0
+395
43-39 in Last 82 MLB Picks
+308
19-15 in Last 34 MLB ML Picks
+333
5-2 in Last 7 ATL ML Picks
Matt's Analysis:

The Braves haven't had to travel this last week at all and have won five of six. The Mets had to fly to Milwaukee and now back to Atlanta and have lost three of four. Braves starter Spencer Schwellenbach has dominated the Mets twice this season, including just last week. Mets starter Tylor Megill has been hit really hard by the Braves in the last three seasons, too. It feels like the Braves win the first game and Mets take the second.

Pick Made: Sep 30, 2:46 am UTC on FanDuel

Team Injuries

New York Mets
Tuesday, Apr 29, 2025
Avatar
LF
Brandon Nimmo
IllnessProbable
Avatar
SP
Sean Manaea
ObliqueIl
Monday, Apr 28, 2025
Avatar
SP
Paul Blackburn
KneeIl
Sunday, Apr 27, 2025
Avatar
RP
A.J. Minter
LatIl
Avatar
2B
Ronny Mauricio
KneeIl
Wednesday, Apr 23, 2025
Avatar
RP
Oliver Ortega
ElbowIl
Monday, Apr 21, 2025
Avatar
CF
Jose Siri
Lower LegIl
Thursday, Apr 17, 2025
Avatar
RP
Frankie Montas
LatIl
Tuesday, Apr 08, 2025
Avatar
RP
Yacksel Rios
UndisclosedIl
Thursday, Mar 27, 2025
Avatar
RP
Luis Ortiz
ElbowIl
Avatar
RP
Adbert Alzolay
ElbowIl
Saturday, Mar 01, 2025
Avatar
SP
Christian Scott
ElbowIl
Friday, Feb 28, 2025
Avatar
3B
Nick Madrigal
ShoulderIl
Saturday, Feb 15, 2025
Avatar
RP
Drew Smith
ElbowIl
Atlanta Braves
Wednesday, Apr 30, 2025
Avatar
SP
A.J. Smith-Shawver
ArmQuestionable
Tuesday, Apr 29, 2025
Avatar
RF
Ronald Acuna
KneeIl
Wednesday, Apr 23, 2025
Avatar
3B
Ignacio Alvarez
WristIl
Tuesday, Apr 22, 2025
Avatar
SP
Spencer Strider
HamstringIl
Avatar
3B
Luke Waddell
UndisclosedIl
Friday, Apr 04, 2025
Avatar
SP
Reynaldo Lopez
ShoulderIl
Monday, Mar 31, 2025
Avatar
RP
Joe Jimenez
KneeIl
Thursday, Mar 27, 2025
Avatar
RP
Raymond Kerr
ElbowIl
Avatar
SP
Royber Salinas
ShoulderIl

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
54%
88-73, +714
88-74, -1484
54%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
54%
44-37, +748
45-36, -933
55%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
45%
39-46, -118
73-49, -607
59%
When Line was +108 to +138
MONEY LINE
When Line was -161 to -131
54%
19-16, +675
23-14, +208
62%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
46%
26-30, +119
41-26, -380
61%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
46%
35-40, -305
26-27, -669
49%
vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
40%
15-22, -636
69-54, -767
56%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
58%
68-49, +1087
60-52, -1093
53%
vs ATL
HEAD TO HEAD
vs NYM
33%
4-8, -251
5-5, -216
50%
when Tylor Megill starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Spencer Schwellenbach starts
61%
8-5, +216
5-7, -318
41%
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