The Marlins were routed by the Red Sox in the opener, 8-3, and I expect more difficulties for Miami tonight even with southpaw Trevor Rogers pitching pretty well over his past four starts. But the inconsistency of the Marlins bullpen has led to Rogers having just one win this season in nine decisions. Additionally, look for Boston's Brayan Bello to settle back down after three straight outings against an AL East opponent. The Marlins' lineup doesn't stack up to any in that division.

Miami is a bad baseball team capable of utterly non-competitive outings any night. This one could get away from them quickly again. They are a bottom six team in baseball in home ATS, and Trevor Rogers has been an auto fade for us, especially at home. He has won two straight starts but Miami is 1-8 when he starts at home and all eight of those losses are by two runs or more. Brayan Bello is capable of a gem for the Sox as they are 6-2 when he starts on the road.