We admit we are inclined to back the Phillies, in general, against lesser teams. It may be a bit of a bias, although their 35-17 record vs losing teams is hard to ignore. And, yes, they are without two top bats right now due to injury. And Aaron Nola, while still very solid, is not having his best season ... although PHI is still 13-3 when he starts with nine wins by 2+ runs. However, the Marlins seem intent on sending Roddery Munoz back out to make another start with their rotation in tatters, and we see dollar signs. Fish have lost all five road games he has started, including four by multiple runs.

Aaron Nola is having a fine season, however his strikeout numbers have plummeted. Nola is also struggling to pitch late into games and I don’t believe he should have a 6.5 line versus any opponent considering his current form. While the Marlins aren’t a strong lineup, they don’t strike a lot and rank in the bottom 10 in K Rate.