The Mets are 16-4 in their last 20 games and their offense has been on fire, posting a 144 OPS+ in the last 28 days with an 18.8 K% in that stretch. Framber Valdez has had three starts with at least five earned runs allowed this season, but even if he can avoid a meltdown, he only has six Ks in four of his 14 starts this year. Furthermore, only six of 22 lefties have delivered six Ks against the Mets all year. The odds for this prop should be at least -150 in my opinion.

Framber Valdez has been over 5.5 Ks in four of 13 starts this year and this won't be an easy matchup against the Mets. As a team they haven't struck out much, especially against lefties, where their collective strikeout rate drops below 20%. Fransisco Lindor has been avoiding strikeouts vs lefties and he sets the ton at the top of the order. This lineup also has a few guys with rather high walk rates and Valdez can have issues with walks, averaging two walks per start currently. The Mets possess MLB's best OPS vs lefties since June 1st and have been one of the better teams all year vs southpaws, so it would be helpful if the Mets bats knock Valdez around.