Neither starting pitcher enters in good form, but the Guardians' lineup is better poised to take advantage. They rank seventh in OPS (.750) against left-handed pitching. Trevor Rogers is giving up an average exit velocity of 91.5 (5th percentile). Back Cleveland at this reasonable price.

This price looks exceedingly fair for Cleveland, considering it enters today what would be 19.5 games ahead of the Marlins in the standings if they played in the same division, or league. True, Carlos Carrasco (5.66 ERA) has been among the least-reliable pieces in the Cleveland rotation. But five or so innings of serviceable work is very within the realm of possibility, and we can't sugarcoat the numbers for Marlins starter Trevor Rogers (1-7, 5.68 ERA), or the stagnant Marlins offense that was blanked again last night for the seventh time this season, and third time across the past six games. Play Cleveland on Money Line

In a battle of bad starters, we will gladly take the far superior team for this kind of value. The Marlins are now 11-25 ATS at home. Their starter, Trevor Rogers, has a 5.88 ERA at home, with opponents batting .308 against him with a WHIP approaching 2. MIA is 1-11 in his starts, losing 10 of them by 2 runs or more. When he starts at home they have lost: 6-0, 7-1, 8-2, 7-2, 3-1, 8-1, 9-7. Guardians bats are hot enough for me to cover for suspect starting pitching if need be