Ryan Weathers has allowed 17 earned runs in his last five starts, so it's not like he's been pitching well, but the Marlins have allowed him to record over 15.5 outs in four of those outings. While their bullpen hasn't been as bad as the rotation, a 119 OPS+ against is certainly nothing to crow about. Weathers has thrown at least 90 pitches in five of his last six games, and against a Tigers team that doesn't hit lefties particularly well (89 OPS+), I expect Miami to let him pitch into the sixth again, so I'm surprised the Under is the favored side here.

Tigers starter Reese Olson has given up five runs over his last five starts, and he should hold down a Marlins lineup that ranks 29th with a .633 OPS. Over the last two weeks, Detroit ranks 12th with a .711 OPS. Miami starter Ryan Weathers has been decent, but has yielded a homer in five straight starts. Back the Tigers to lead after five.