Max Fried (blister) hasn't pitched since Sept. 21 and now faces a Phillies lineup that's hit lefties well over the past two months. Phillies starter Zack Wheeler dominated in his first playoff start versus the Marlins and owns a career 2.55 postseason ERA. He has pitched extremely well in two of three starts versus the Braves this season. While Atlanta is at home and desperate to avoid a 2-0 deficit heading to Philly, I bet the red-hot Phils at this great price.

Truly stunned that Ranger Suarez and the six dwarfs handed the Braves their first shutout of the season at home in Game 1 -- and now it's Zack Wheeler, who has had plenty of success against the Braves career and in the playoffs career. I'm getting Phillies +1.5 the same price essentially as Braves ML. While Max Fried has been great for ATL, he has had some blister issues and that could pop up again at any time.