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Minnesota’s Pablo Lopez has pitched his best on the road this season. He owns a 2.94 ERA, but comes off an outing where he allowed three earned runs to the Tigers. Baltimore has lost its last two games, but have been hitting .301 with a .872 OPS against righties at home in June. The Twins are hitting .217 with a .125 ISO against righties on the road this month.
This number was 20 cents cheap to me so I bet it early because of Orioles starter Dean Kremer who the Orioles have won three straight behind and 11 of 16 this season. The bats get loose when he starts (Over 10-4-2) and this is a first game of a series that the Orioles have been feasting on all season. They’re also coming off two losses. Coming home where they’re 25-16 and after a loss, they are 20-10. Orioles to win.