Los Angeles has six batters in the lineup today hitting under .200. Pittsburgh’s Mitch Keller has pitched very well at home, only allowing four earned runs in 12 innings of work. The Dodgers are batting .191 with a .658 OPS in day games this season. The Pirates are hitting .285 against lefties with a .813 OPS. Los Angeles’ Julio Urias owns a 5.79 road ERA and backed by a bullpen with a 5.32 ERA, worst in the NL.

New day, same story: The books are giving us a great price on the Bucs +1.5 at home against what is frankly an overrated Dodgers team right now and yet again without the likes of Max Muncy, JD Martinez and Will Smith. Manager Dave Roberts must be sniffing glue by hitting punch-and-judy Jason Heyward third again today. Yes, Julio Urias is good enough to shut out Pittsburgh, but Mitch Keller might be the Bucs' best pitcher. We're 2-0 on this play so far.