The Red Sox are doing this weird thing where they win every other game right now and they lost their last game. They do tend to struggle against right-handed power pitchers with good changeups, but Luis Castillo hasn’t completely found his command yet. The Reds are hitting right now but that was all at home, they are 7-19 on the road. Tanner Houck should be available for the Red Sox as well as their whole top of the bullpen after the blowout yesterday. I like the Red Sox at home.

The Red Sox burned me last night in getting slaughtered at home vs. the Orioles, but we have to go back to them at this solid price against the Reds. I don't think Boston's Michael Wacha is as good as his 2.83 ERA might indicate, but Cincinnati's Luis Castillo (1-2, 4.35) is worse. The Sox are 7-0 in their past seven following a loss.