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Mon, Apr 116:10 pm UTCEwing M. Kauffman Stadium
64 F
Track OnCBS Sports
Cleveland
Guardians
CLE
Last 5 ML
W/L92-70
ATS86-76
O/U76-78-8
FINAL SCORE
--
-
--
Kansas City
Royals
KC
Last 5 ML
W/L65-97
ATS81-81
O/U82-74-6
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
92-70
Win /Loss
65-97
86-76
Spread
81-81
76-78-8
Over / Under
82-74-6
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
CLE @ KC
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MONEYLINE
CLE @ KC
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OVER / UNDER
CLE @ KC
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0%
PUBLIC
0%
MONEY
0%
PUBLIC
0%
MONEY
Over0%
PUBLIC
Under0%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Expert's PickKansas City +1.5 +125
LOSS
Unit1.0
+6018
368-212-1 in Last 581 MLB Picks
+2685
156-113 in Last 269 MLB ATS Picks
Matt's Analysis:

You ever notice how a game after a team goes offensively bananas that it usually struggles? I'm counting on that for the Indians, err Guardians (this is going to take a while to get used to), after they hung 17 runs on the Royals Sunday. It's Carlos Hernandez on the bump for the Royals. He was 6-2 in 2021 with a 3.68 ERA and will be his his first career start vs. Cleveland after making his MLB debut vs. the Guardians with 3.2 scoreless innings in relief in 2020. Cleveland's Aaron Civale had a 5.73 ERA in two starts last year vs. KC. A handful of Royals have nice splits against him. I was waiting on this to flip to Kansas City +1.5 on the runline and it has temporarily. So I'll pay the tax of -175 before it perhaps flips back to Cleveland +1.5.

Pick Made: Apr 11, 4:46 pm UTC on Consensus

Team Injuries

Cleveland Guardians
Friday, Mar 28, 2025
Avatar
SP
Slade Cecconi
ObliqueIl
Thursday, Mar 27, 2025
Avatar
SP
Shane Bieber
ElbowIl
Avatar
SP
John Means
ElbowIl
Avatar
RP
Trevor Stephan
ElbowIl
Avatar
RP
Erik Sabrowski
ElbowIl
Wednesday, Feb 19, 2025
Avatar
C
David Fry
ElbowIl
Monday, Feb 17, 2025
Avatar
RP
Sam Hentges
ShoulderIl
Kansas City Royals
Monday, Mar 24, 2025
Avatar
SP
Kyle Wright
ShoulderIl
Avatar
RP
James McArthur
ElbowIl
Avatar
RP
Alec Marsh
ShoulderIl

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
50%
2-2, -14
2-2, -13
50%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
50%
2-2, -14
2-2, -13
50%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or Even
50%
1-1, -13
1-1, +5
50%
When Line was -130 to -100
MONEY LINE
When Line was -119 to +111
66%
2-1, +86
1-2, -95
33%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
50%
1-1, -13
1-1, +5
50%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
66%
2-1, +86
2-2, -13
50%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
50%
2-2, -14
2-2, -13
50%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
100%
1-0, +87
0-1, -100
0%
vs KC
HEAD TO HEAD
vs CLE
50%
2-2, -14
2-2, -13
50%
when Aaron Civale starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Carlos Hernandez starts
100%
1-0, +87
0-1, -100
0%
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