NFL Betting: Which divisional 'dog has the best chance?

Parity continues to reign in the NFL. Both in 2014 and 2015, five divisions featured three teams with seven wins or more.

As a result, more teams with winning records are being left out of the playoffs. Last year the 10-6 Jets did not qualify and in 2014, four 9-7 AFC teams didn't make it.

This trend won't change any time soon.

What it does is present a fantastic opportunity to grab a nice payout on a division winner. 

I pored over each division and came up with what I consider the best value on the division odds board.

San Diego Chargers

+675 to win AFC West

The Chargers are this division's forgotten team. 5dimes oddsmakers peg the AFC West as a three-team race among the Chiefs (+188), Broncos (+198) and Raiders (+280).

Denver is the defending Super Bowl champ and returns a lot of key pieces. But the QB battle between Mark Sanchez and Trevor Siemian doesn't inspire confidence.

Kansas City went on an incredible 11-game winning streak last year, but remember the Chiefs were 1-5 before they hit a favorable schedule stretch.

The Raiders are riding a surge of youth, led by Derek Carr and Amari Cooper. But I still see too many flash-and-crash moments from Carr. Oakland won't be better than .500.

That leaves the Chargers, the NFL's most underachieving team. I expect that to change thanks to new offensive coordinator Ken Whisenhunt, who worked wonders with this team in 2013.

Philip Rivers, 34, threw for a career-high 4,792 yards last year. Although he's entering his 13th season, remember that his first two years he sat behind Drew Brees.

We often forget how good Rivers and the Chargers have been over the years. If you throw out last season, the team's worst record since 2004 was a 7-9 mark in 2012. San Diego went 9-7 in both 2013 and 2014.

San Diego enters this season less dependent on aging vets like Antonio Gates. The team drafted tight end Hunter Henry in the second round and signed blazing wideout Travis Benjamin in free agency.

Former Packers receiver James Jones was also brought in, and he'll contribute behind Keenan Allen and Benjamin. 

The Chargers won't dominate defensively, but keep in mind they play in a division without an elite quarterback.

Last year's 4-12 disaster opened up some value on San Diego. Expect the AFC West to be up for grabs, and play the Chargers as your surprise division winner in 2016.