2025 Jack Link's 500 odds, picks: Projected NASCAR at Talladega leaderboard, predictions by top model
The SportsLine Projection Model simulated the 2025 Jack Link's 500 at Talladega Superspeedway 10,000 times and revealed its NASCAR picks
Talladega Superspeedway is one of the crown jewels of NASCAR, and the 2.667-mile oval will host the 2025 Jack Link's 500 on Sunday. The NASCAR Cup Series just had a week off, but Kyle Larson took the checkered flag when they last went racing in Bristol. The 2025 Jack Link's 500 odds from DraftKings Sportsbook list 13 drivers with odds of 20-1 or lower, including Larson at 18-1. Ryan Blaney is the 17-2 favorite in the 2025 NASCAR at Talladega odds.
The green flag drops at 3 p.m. ET on Sunday. Before making any 2025 NASCAR at Talladega predictions, you NEED to see the latest 2025 Jack Link's 500 picks from SportsLine's proven projection model.
Our proven projection model has simulated the 2025 Jack Link's 500 10,000 times and come up with a surprising leaderboard. Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model takes into account a slew of factors, including track history and recent results.
McClure's model began the 2025 season by calling Chase Elliott's win in the Cook Out Clash at Bowman Gray for a +300 payout. Then at Daytona, it was also high on William Byron despite +2000 odds and it went on to predict Kyle Larson as a +350 winner in Miami. The model also called its first victory of the 2024 season with Larson winning in Las Vegas for a 21-5 payout then predicted Denny Hamlin's wins in Bristol at 5-1 and Richmond at 17-4.
It impressively nailed five of Larson's wins during his historic season in 2021 too. All told, the model has nailed a whopping 20 winners since 2021 and has hit two winners already in 2025! Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks could have seen HUGE returns.
Now, the model has dialed in on NASCAR at Talladega 2025 and released its projections.
For the 2025 Jack Link's 500, we can tell you the model is high on Chase Elliott, even though he's a longshot at +2000 in the latest 2025 NASCAR at Bristol odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday. It's also revealed a shocking NASCAR prop for Sunday: Kyle Larson stays hot and finishes top five for a +225 payout at the iconic superspeedway. He's a great potential value for your Talladega NASCAR prop bets.
The model is also targeting TWO OTHER drivers with odds of 16-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag! Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY NEED to see who they are before locking in any NASCAR picks.
So who wins the 2025 Jack Link's 500, and which EPIC longshots are MUST-BACKS? ... Join SportsLine right now to see the full projected NASCAR at Talladega leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 20 winners!
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