2025 Goodyear 400 odds, picks: Projected NASCAR at Darlington leaderboard, predictions by top model
The SportsLine Projection Model simulated the 2025 Goodyear 400 at Darlington Raceway 10,000 times and revealed its NASCAR picks
The NASCAR Cup Series season will continue on Sunday with the 2025 Goodyear 400 at Darlington Raceway. The "Lady in Black" is a 1.366-mile, egg-shaped oval that has been a fixture on the NASCAR schedule since 1950. Ford earned a clean sweep at Darlington last season, but Kyle Larson is still the +500 favorite in the latest 2025 Goodyear 400 odds. William Byron is on the pole. The green flag drops at 3 p.m. ET. Before making any 2025 NASCAR at Darlington predictions, you NEED to see the latest 2025 Goodyear 400 picks from SportsLine's proven projection model.
Our proven projection model has simulated the 2025 Goodyear 400 10,000 times and come up with a surprising leaderboard. Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model takes into account a slew of factors, including track history and recent results.
McClure's model began the 2025 season by calling Chase Elliott's win in the Cook Out Clash at Bowman Gray for a +300 payout. Then at Daytona, it was also high on William Byron despite +2000 odds and it went on to predict Kyle Larson as a +350 winner in Miami. The model also called its first victory of the 2024 season with Larson winning in Las Vegas for a 21-5 payout then predicted Denny Hamlin's wins in Bristol at 5-1 and Richmond at 17-4.
It impressively nailed five of Larson's wins during his historic season in 2021 too. All told, the model has nailed a whopping 20 winners since 2021 and has hit two winners already in 2025! Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks could have seen HUGE returns.
Now, the model has dialed in on NASCAR at Darlington 2025 and released its projections.
For the 2025 Goodyear 400, we can tell you the model is high on Joey Logano, even though he's a longshot at +1500 in the latest 2025 NASCAR at Darlington odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday. And a massive shocker: Ryan Blaney, one of the top Vegas favorites, stumbles big time and barely cracks the top five! There are far better values in the 2025 NASCAR Darlington starting lineup.
The model is also targeting THREE OTHER drivers with odds of 15-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag! Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY NEED to see who they are before locking in any NASCAR picks.
So who wins the 2025 Goodyear 400, and which EPIC longshots are MUST-BACKS? ... Join SportsLine right now to see the full projected NASCAR at Darlington leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 20 winners!
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