The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-1) and the Atlanta Falcons (2-2) will meet in an NFC South showdown on Thursday Night Football. The Buccaneers dominated the Philadelphia Eagles, 33-16, last week. On the other sideline, the Falcons topped the New Orleans Saints, 26-24. This is the first of two matchups of the 2024 season. 

Kickoff at Mercedes-Benz Stadium is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. Atlanta is a 1.5-point favorite in the latest Buccaneers vs. Falcons odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 43.5. The Falcons are -127 money-line favorites (risk $127 to win $100), while the Bucs are +107 underdogs.

Before making any Buccaneers vs. Falcons picks or predictions of your own, you NEED to see which side SportsLine NFL expert Larry Hartstein is on. 

A former lead writer for Covers and The Linemakers, Hartstein combines a vast network of Vegas sources with an analytical approach he honed working for Pro Football Focus. He tied for 52nd place (out of 1,598 entries) in the 2022 Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest, going 53-34-3 ATS. Hartstein's weekly Vegas contest selections form the basis of his NFL best bets column, which is 79-48-2 (62.2%, +25.95 units) since its inception in 2022. He's also 49-25-2 (+1943) on his last 76 against the spread picks involving the Falcons! Anyone who has followed him is WAY up!

Now, Hartstein has locked in another confident against-the-spread pick for Buccaneers vs. Falcons.

We can tell you he's leaning Over the point total, but he also knows a crucial X-factor makes one side of the spread a MUST-BACK! You ABSOLUTELY need to see what it is before locking in any picks of your own.

So who wins Buccaneers vs. Falcons on Thursday Night Football, and what x-factor makes one side of the spread a MUST-BACK? ... Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the Buccaneers-Falcons spread hits HARD, all from the expert who is an AMAZING 49-25 on picks involving the Falcons!