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2024 NFL futures, odds: Defensive Player of the Year betting strategy includes best bets, key longshot values

We continue previewing the 2024 NFL season by breaking down the Defensive Player of the Year odds and giving out our picks

From 2012-18, J.J. Watt and Aaron Donald collectively won Defensive Player of the Year five times, with only Luke Kuechly (2013) and Khalil Mack (2016) able to break through and claim the award as theirs. Since 2018, six different players have been named Defensive Player of the year, including Myles Garrett last year. He was able to secure the award despite having five fewer sacks than the league leader and despite the Browns finishing outside the top 10 in points allowed, which may show evolving attitudes from voters when putting together their ballot for this award.

Nick Bosa claimed Player of the Year honors in 2022 by securing an NFL-best 18.5 sacks for a 49ers defense that allowed the fewest points in the NFL. The previous year, outside linebacker T.J. Watt tied the official record for sacks in a single season with 22.5 to easily earn the award.

In 2020, defensive tackle Aaron Donald didn't lead the league in sacks, but he was the signature player on a Rams defense that allowed the fewest points in the league, and that was enough to edge out Watt and his 1.5-sack advantage. In 2019, cornerback Stephon Gilmore picked off six passes and scored two touchdowns as the best defender on the NFL's best defense to win the award in a season that featured two players with at least 19 sacks (Chandler Jones, Shaquil Barrett).

I'll break down the fields for Defensive Player of the Year below and identify who I think makes the most sense to back, including some longshots I think could be worth small-sized plays. But first, let's look at the full list of odds.

2024 Defensive Player of the Year odds


CaesarsDraftKingsFanDuelConsensus
Micah Parsons +500+550+500+517
T.J. Watt +575+550+750+625
Myles Garrett +600+800+600+667
Nick Bosa +750+700+850+767
Maxx Crosby +600+700+1000+767
Aidan Hutchinson +1000+1000+1600+1200
Josh Hines-Allen +2500+2500+2500+2500
Will Anderson Jr. +2200+2000+4000+2733
Chris Jones +3000+3000+2500+2833
Danielle Hunter +3500+2500+3200+3067
Kyle Hamilton +4000+3500+3000+3500
Montez Sweat +3500+3000+6000+4167
Rashan Gary +4000+5000+4000+4333
Trey Hendrickson +5000+5000+5000+5000
Haason Reddick +5000+5000+6000+5333
Sauce Gardner +5000+6000+6000+5667
Joey Bosa +5000+5000+7500+5833
Brian Burns +6000+6000+6000+6000
Fred Warner +4000+4000+10000+6000
Jalen Carter +5500+5500+7500+6167
Roquan Smith +5000+7500+7500+6667
Quinnen Williams +7000+8000+6000+7000
Kayvon Thibodeaux +6000+6000+10000+7333
Khalil Mack +6000+6000+10000+7333
Justin Madubuike +6000+6000+10000+7333
Jaylon Johnson +6000+6000+10000+7333
Patrick Surtain II +5000+10000+7500+7500
Bradley Chubb +8000+7500+10000+8500
Devon Witherspoon +8000+8000+10000+8667
Dexter Lawrence +6000+10000+10000+8667
Jaelan Phillips +8000+10000+10000+9333
Minkah Fitzpatrick +8000+10000+10000+9333
L'Jarius Sneed +8000+10000+10000+9333
Travon Walker +3000+10000+15000+9333
Brian Branch +8000+10000+12000+10000

Which favorites are worth playing to win Defensive Player of the Year, and which should be faded? And which candidates make for the best values to take home the award? ... Join SportsLine right now to see NFL Defensive Player of the Year futures betting strategy from SportsLine's No. 1 NFL expert!

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R.J. White
R.J. WhiteSuper Stat Geek

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