The 2024 GEICO 500 will take place on Sunday at Talladega Superspeedway. The 2.66-mile tri-oval's width and sweeping corners promote lightning-fast, side-by-side racing. The Next-Gen car has made fuel consumption and throttle control essential. William Byron won the last superspeedway race when he took the checkered flag at the Daytona 500 and Chevrolet has won three of the last four races at Talladega. However, three Fords top of the 2024 GEICO 500 odds, with Joey Logano listed as the 9-1 favorite, followed by Brad Keselowski at 10-1 and Ryan Blaney at 11-1. Byron is one of four drivers at 12-1 in the 2024 NASCAR at Talladega odds.

Before scouring the 2024 GEICO 500 starting lineup and making any 2024 NASCAR at Talladega predictions, be sure to see the latest 2024 GEICO 500 picks from SportsLine's proven projection model.

Our proven projection model has simulated the 2024 GEICO 500 10,000 times and come up with a surprising leaderboard. Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model takes into account a slew of factors including track history and recent results.

McClure's model was red-hot during the 2023 season, nailing Martin Truex Jr.'s Clash win (20-1) as well as his win in New Hampshire (11-2), Joey Logano's Duel win (8-1), Kyle Busch's Fontana victory (10-1), Denny Hamlin's triumph in Kansas (6-1) and Kyle Larson's wins at Martinsville (6-1) and the NASCAR All-Star Race (13-2). The model correctly predicted winners in two playoff races as well, with Ryan Blaney scoring a 12-1 payout at Talladega and Larson winning at 9-2 in Las Vegas. 

It also called its first victory of the 2024 season with Larson winning again in Las Vegas for a 21-5 payout then predicted a Denny Hamlin's wins in Bristol at 5-1 and Richmond at 17-4. It impressively nailed five of Larson's wins during his historic season in 2021 too. All told, the model has nailed a whopping 18 winners since 2021 and hit nine last year alone! Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw HUGE returns.

Now, the model has dialed in on NASCAR at Talladega and released its projections.

The model knows Talladega Superspeedway has been a fixture on the NASCAR schedule since 1969 and it's become the mecca for racing fans who like to see cars driving side-by-side at nearly 200 mph. Ryan Blaney is the defending NASCAR Cup Series champion and he was also a winner at Talladega when NASCAR last passed through in October of last season. Blaney is now a three-time winner at Talladega and Ford has been the fastest manufacturer for the last decade, winning 12 of the last 20 races at Talladega. 

For the 2024 GEICO 500, we can tell you the model is high on Kyle Busch, even though he's a 15-1 longshot in the latest 2024 NASCAR at Talladega odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday. And a massive shocker: Joey Logano, the two-time NASCAR Cup Series champion and the Vegas favorite, stumbles big-time and barely cracks the top five! There are far better values in the 2024 GEICO 500 starting lineup.

The model is also targeting TWO OTHER drivers with 2024 NASCAR at Talladega odds longer than 12-1 to make a serious run at the checkered flag! Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who they are before locking in any NASCAR picks.

So who wins the 2024 GEICO 500, and which EPIC longshots are a MUST-BACK? ... Join SportsLine right now to see the full projected NASCAR at Talladega leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 18 winners, including three already this year!