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2023 NFL futures, odds: Defensive Player of the Year betting strategy includes best bets, key longshot values

We continue previewing the 2023 NFL season by breaking down the Defensive Player of the Year odds and giving out our picks

We've now broken down the 2023 NFL MVP and 2023 Offensive Player of the Year odds to find potential value plays up and down the board and settle on a betting strategy for each award. Now it's time to do the same for Defensive Player of the Year, an award that has seen players at four different positions take home the hardware over the last four years.

Defensive end Nick Bosa claimed Player of the Year honors in 2022 by securing an NFL-best 18.5 sacks for a 49ers defense that allowed the fewest points in the NFL. The previous year, outside linebacker T.J. Watt tied the official record for sacks in a single season with 22.5 to easily earn the award.

In 2020, defensive tackle Aaron Donald didn't lead the league in sacks, but he was the signature player on a Rams defense that allowed the fewest points in the league, and that was enough to edge out Watt and his 1.5-sack advantage. In 2019, cornerback Stephon Gilmore picked off six passes and scored two touchdowns to win the award in a season that featured two players with at least 19 sacks (Chandler Jones, Shaquil Barrett).

I'll break down the fields for Defensive Player of the Year below and identify who I think makes the most sense to back, including some longshots I think could be worth small-sized plays. But first, let's look at the full list of odds.

2023 Defensive Player of the Year odds

PlayerOdds
PlayerOdds
PlayerOdds
Micah Parsons +650
Talanoa Hufanga +10000
DeForest Buckner +20000
Myles Garrett +750
Darius Slay Jr +10000
Tremaine Edmunds +20000
T.J. Watt +750
Jeffrey Simmons +15000
Demarcus Lawrence +20000
Nick Bosa +1000
Jevon Holland +15000
Denico Autry +20000
Maxx Crosby +1200
Kevin Byard +15000
Cameron Jordon +20000
Ahmad Gardner +1200
Josh Uche +15000
T.J. Edwards +20000
Brian Burns +2200
Jaire Alexander +15000
Marcus Davenport +20000
Haason Reddick +2200
Tre'Davious White +15000
Khalil Mack +20000
Aidan Hutchinson +2500
Minkah Fitzpatrick +15000
Jordon Poyer +20000
Aaron Donald +2500
Trevon Diggs +15000
Myles Jack +20000
Quinnen Williams +2800
Bobby Wagner +15000
Robert Quinn +20000
Joey Bosa +3000
Nick Bolton +15000
Jonathan Allen +20000
Chris Jones +3000
Jeremy Chinn +15000
Jamin Davis +20000
Rashan Gary +3000
Harold Landry +15000
Marshon Lattimore +20000
Patrick Surtain II +4000
Jack Jones +15000
Preston Smith +20000
Roquan Smith +4000
Sam Hubbard +15000
Jordyn Brooks +20000
Matthew Judon +4000
Shaquil Barrett +15000
Yannick Ngakoue +20000
Fred Warner +4000
Lavonte David +15000
Jalen Pitre +20000
Kayvon Thibodeaux +5000
George Karlaftis +15000
Montez Sweat +20000
Jaelen Phillips +5000
Devin White +15000
Demario Davis +20000
Bradley Chubb +5000
Malcolm Rodriguez +15000
Odafe Oweh +20000
Von Miller +6000
Jamal Adams +20000
Josh Allen (JAC) +20000
Chase Young +6000
Jalen Carter +20000
Foyesade Olukan +20000
Trey Hendrickson +8000
Randy Gregory +20000
Vita Vea +20000
Jalen Ramsey +8000
Fletcher Cox +20000
Marlon Humphrey +20000
Travon Walker +8000
Matt Milano +20000
Leonard Williams +20000
Shaquille Leonard +8000
Antoine Winfield Jr +20000
Chandler Jones +20000
Derwin James +8000
Micah Hyde +20000
Arik Armstead +20000
ZaDarius Smith +10000
Quandre Diggs +20000
Derek Stingley +20000
Jaycee Horn +10000
J.C. Jackson +20000
Xavien Howard +20000
Danielle Hunter +10000
Grady Jarrett +20000
Jessie Bates III +20000
Justin Simmons +10000
Tyree Wilson +20000
Tyrann Mathieu +20000
Will Anderson +10000
Kyle Hamilton +20000
A.J. Terrell +20000
Tariq Woolen +10000
Greg Rousseau +20000


Which favorites are worth playing to win Defensive Player of the Year, and which should be faded? And which candidates make for the best values to take home the award? ... Join SportsLine right now to see NFL Defensive Player of the Year futures betting strategy from SportsLine's No. 1 NFL expert!

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R.J. White
R.J. WhiteSuper Stat Geek

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