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2023 GEICO 500 odds, picks: Projected NASCAR leaderboard, predictions for Talladega from proven model

The SportsLine Projection Model simulated the GEICO 500 2023 at Talladega Superspeedway 10,000 times and has revealed its NASCAR picks

By@Mike5754Published: Apr 23, 2023 6:03PM UTC . 2 min read

The NASCAR Cup Series will continue on Sunday with the 2023 GEICO 500 at Talladega Superspeedway. The green flag is scheduled to drop at 3 p.m. ET at a legendary venue that has hosted NASCAR races since 1949. Joey Logano and Ryan Blaney are the 10-1 co-favorites in the 2023 NASCAR at Talladega odds from Caesars Sportsbook.

Our proven projection model has simulated the race 10,000 times and came up with a surprising leaderboard.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model takes into account a slew of factors including track history and recent results.

McClure's model is off to a red-hot start this season, already nailing Martin Truex Jr.'s Clash win (20-1), Joey Logano's Duel win (8-1), Kyle Busch's Fontana victory (10-1), and Kyle Larson's win at Martinsville (6-1). In Austin, it listed Tyler Reddick as one of its best values and he went on to win for a 10-1 payout. It also impressively nailed five of Kyle Larson's wins during his historic season in 2021. All told, the model has nailed a whopping 10 winners since 2021. Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw HUGE returns.  

Now, the model has dialed in on the GEICO 500 2023 and released its projections. 

We can tell you the model is high on Kyle Busch, even though he's a 15-1 longshot in the latest 2023 NASCAR at Talladega odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday. And a massive shocker: Joey Logano, one of the top Vegas favorites, stumbles big-time and fails to crack the top five! There are far better values in the 2023 GEICO 500 starting lineup.

The model is also targeting four other drivers with 2023 NASCAR at Talladega odds of 15-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag! Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who they are before locking in any NASCAR picks.

So who wins the 2023 GEICO 400? And which longshots are a MUST-BACK? ... Join SportsLine right now to see the full projected NASCAR at Talladega leaderboard, all from the model that has already called the winners of the Clash, a Daytona Duel, the Pala Casino 400 and NOCO 400!

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