The NASCAR Cup Series kicks off Sunday with the 2023 Daytona 500 from Daytona International Speedway. The race runs 200 laps, with the 2023 running being the 65th edition of the event. The green flag drops at 2:30 p.m. ET and three-time winner Denny Hamlin is the 10-1 favorite at Caesars Sportsbook. Other top 2023 Daytona 500 contenders in the 2023 Daytona 500 odds include Ryan Blaney, Kyle Larson and Chase Elliott, all at 12-1.

Our proven projection model has simulated the race 10,000 times and came up with a surprising leaderboard.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model takes into account a slew of factors including track history and recent results.

McClure's model is off to a red-hot start this season, already nailing Martin Truex Jr.'s win at the Clash at the Coliseum, returning 20-1, and nailing Joey Logano's Duel win (8-1)! It also impressively nailed five of Kyle Larson's wins during his historic season. All told, the model has nailed a whopping eight winners since 2021. Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw HUGE returns.

Now, the model has dialed in on the Daytona 500 2023 and released its projections. 

We can tell you the model is high on Tyler Reddick, even though he's a 20-1 longshot in the latest 2023 NASCAR at Daytona odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday. And a massive shocker: Kyle Larson, one of the the top Vegas favorites at 12-1, stumbles big-time and barely cracks the top five! There are far better values in the 2023 Daytona 500 starting lineup.

The model is also targeting FOUR other drivers with 2023 Daytona 500 odds longer than 15-1 to make a serious run at the checkered flag! Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who they are before locking in any NASCAR picks.

So who wins the 2023 Daytona 500? And which longshots are a MUST-BACK? ... Join SportsLine right now to see the full projected NASCAR at Daytona leaderboard, all from the model that already nailed the longshot Clash at the Coliseum winner!