Champion Manchester City kick off their 2023-24 English Premier League campaign on the road Friday when they visit Turf Moor to take on newly-promoted Burnley. City went 28-5-5 last season to finish five points ahead of Arsenal and win their fifth Premier League title in the past six years. Burnley were 29-14-3 in the Championship, finishing 10 points ahead of Sheffield United to earn promotion, then beat rival Blackburn Rovers 1-0 to win the league playoffs. The Clarets spent six straight seasons in the top flight before being relegated after the 2021-22 campaign.         

Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET. Manchester City are -310 favorites (risk $310 to win $100) in the latest Burnley vs. Manchester City odds, with Burnley +900 underdogs. A draw is priced at +390, and the over/under for total goals scored is 2.5. (For more soccer coverage, click here.)

Before you lock in your Manchester City vs. Burnley picks or EPL predictions, you need to see what proven soccer expert Martin Green has to say.

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Since last year's World Cup, Green has been profitable in multiple areas on his soccer picks, including the Champions League (+4.78 units), the FA Cup (+3.07) and the EFL Cup (+3.64), Euro 2024 qualifiers (+3.01) and Europa League (+1.60).

Green knows Man City remain the cream of the crop in the Premier League, and striker Erling Haaland is likely to come out flying again. The Norwegian scored 52 goals in all competitions, including an EPL-record 36, in his first season with the Citizens. Riyad Mahrez and Ilkay Gundogan have moved on, but midfielder Mateo Kovacic was added from Chelsea, and the core remains. Kevin De Bruyne led the EPL with 16 assists last season, and City scored 94 goals in 38 matches.          

Green knows it can take time for the teams to get rolling, and Burnley are playing at home. The Clarets clinched promotion with seven games left, a Championship record, and scored 87 goals while conceding 35 in 46 games. They won 10 games in a row at one point to tie another league record. Nathan Tella (17 goals) is back with Southampton, so Burnley will rely on relentless midfielders Josh Brownhill (seven goals, eight assists) and Josh Cullen and winger Benson Manuel (11 goals).

Green has taken an in-depth look at the Manchester City vs. Burnley matchup, and he is leaning Under on the goal total. He has locked in two other best bets, including one on a goal-scorer at plus-money, and has a full breakdown of this Premier League matchup. You need to see his picks and analysis before making any selections of your own.

So who wins Burnley vs. Manchester City on Friday, and where does all the betting value lie? ... Join SportsLine now to see Martin Green's picks for Man City vs. Burnley, all from the expert who has been profitable in multiple areas on his soccer picks since last year's World Cup!