The NASCAR Xfinity Series continues its season on Saturday with the 2022 United Rentals 200 at Phoenix Raceway. The green flag drops at 4:30 p.m. ET and Ty Gibbs is the 7-2 favorite in the latest 2022 United Rentals 200 odds from Caesars Sportsbook.

Our proven projection model has simulated the race 10,000 times and came up with a surprising leaderboard.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model takes into account a slew of factors including track history and recent results.

In the 2021 season, McClure nailed Martin Truex Jr. to win at Martinsville for a strong 3-1 payout. The model also nailed Kyle Larson winning the NASCAR All-Star Race at 5-2 in Texas and hit Larson again at the Ally 400 for another 5-2 payout. Then called Chase Elliott to win at Road America for a 5-2 payout.

In total, it called five of Larson's wins during a historic season and also nailed Austin Cindric's win to begin the 2021 Xfinity Series season at Daytona for a 10-1 payout. Then last week it called Gibbs as the Xfinity winner in Las Vegas for a 4-1 payout. Anyone who followed its lead on those plays saw HUGE returns.

Now, the model has dialed in on the 2022 United Rentals 200 and released its projections. 

We can tell you the model is high on Austin Hill, even though he's a massive 30-1 long shot in the latest NASCAR Xfinity Series at Phoenix odds 2022. He's a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday. And a massive shocker: Justin Allgaier, one of the Vegas favorites at 4-1, stumbles big-time and fails to crack the top five! There are far better values in this loaded 2022 United Rentals 200 starting lineup.

The model is also targeting two other drivers with NASCAR at Phoenix odds of 15-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag! Anyone who backs this driver could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who he is before locking in any NASCAR picks.

So who wins the 2022 United Rentals 200? And which long shot is a MUST-BACK? ... Join SportsLine right now to see the full projected NASCAR at Phoenix leaderboard, all from the model that nailed Ty Gibbs' big win in Las Vegas last week!