The NASCAR Cup Series schedule continues on Sunday with the 2022 South Point 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway. It's the first race in the Round of 8 for the 2022 NASCAR Playoffs and there will be a new champion this season after Kyle Larson was eliminated from contention last week. The green flag drops at 2:30 p.m. ET. Denny Hamlin is the 11-2 favorite in the latest NASCAR at Las Vegas odds from Caesars Sportsbook. 

Our proven projection model has simulated the 2022 South Point 400 10,000 times and come up with a surprising leaderboard.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model takes into account a slew of factors including track history and recent results.

In the 2021 season, McClure's model nailed Truex Jr. to win at Martinsville for a strong 3-1 payout. Then it called Elliott to win at Road America for a 5-2 payout. McClure's model also called Larson's win at Texas for an 11-4 payout and his win at Kansas for a 9-4 payout in back-to-back weeks before nailing Larson to win the season finale in Phoenix to claim the 2021 NASCAR Cup Championship. In total, it nailed five of Larson's wins during a historic season. 

So far in 2022, it was high on Ross Chastain to win in Austin, giving him a far better shot to win than his 40-1 odds implied. The model was also high on Joey Logano before he won as a 15-1 underdog at Darlington and high on Logano again when he returned 14-1 on his win in St. Louis. In early August it was much higher on Kevin Harvick than his 17-1 odds implied and Harvick went on to capture the win at Michigan and it was high on Tyler Reddick last week when he won at Texas for a 12-1 payout. Anyone who followed its lead on those plays saw HUGE returns.

Now, the model has dialed in on NASCAR Las Vegas 2022 and released its projections.

Las Vegas Motor Speedway is a 1.5-mile oval that has hosted the NASCAR Cup Series since 1998 and there have been two Cup races held on the track since 2018. The track has produced a different winner in each of the last six races held there, with Alex Bowman winning the spring race this year and Hamlin winning the fall race last year. Chase Elliott currently leads the 2022 NASCAR standings and two-time Las Vegas winner Joey Logano sits 20 points behind him in second place.

For the 2022 South Point 400, we can tell you the model is high on Ryan Blaney, even though he's a 10-1 longshot in the latest 2022 NASCAR at Las Vegas odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday. And a massive shocker: Tyler Reddick, one of the Vegas favorites at 13-2, stumbles big-time and fails to crack the top five! There are far better values in the 2022 South Point 400 starting lineup.

The model is also targeting TWO OTHER drivers with 2022 NASCAR at Las Vegas odds of 10-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag! Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who it is before locking in any NASCAR picks.

So who wins the 2022 South Point 400? And which longshots are a MUST-BACK? ... Join SportsLine right now to see the full projected NASCAR at Las Vegas leaderboard, all from the model that nailed five of Kyle Larson's wins last season!