The NASCAR Cup Series schedule continues on Sunday with the 2022 Federated Auto Parts 400 at Richmond Raceway. The green flag drops at 3 p.m. ET. Martin Truex Jr. is the 11-2 favorite in the 2022 NASCAR at Richmond odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Our proven projection model has simulated the 2022 Federated Auto Parts 400 10,000 times and come up with a surprising leaderboard.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model takes into account a slew of factors including track history and recent results.

In the 2021 season, McClure's model nailed Martin Truex Jr. to win at Martinsville for a strong 3-1 payout. Then it called Chase Elliott to win at Road America for a 5-2 payout. McClure's model also called Larson's win at Texas for an 11-4 payout and his win at Kansas for a 9-4 payout in back-to-back weeks before nailing Larson to win the season finale in Phoenix to claim the 2021 NASCAR Cup Championship.  In total, it nailed five of Larson's wins during a historic season. 

So far in 2022, it was high on Ross Chastain to win in Austin, giving him a far better shot to win than his 40-1 odds implied. The model was also high on Joey Logano before he won as a 15-1 underdog at Darlington and high on Logano again when he returned 14-1 on his win in St. Louis. Last week, it was much higher on Kevin Harvick than his 17-1 odds implied and Harvick went on to capture the win at Michigan. Anyone who followed its lead on those plays saw HUGE returns.

Now, the model has dialed in on NASCAR Richmond 2022 and released its projections. 

We can tell you the model is high on Joey Logano, even though he's a 15-1 long shot in the latest 2022 NASCAR at Richmond odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday. And a massive shocker: Christopher Bell, one of the Vegas favorites at 7-1, stumbles big-time and barely cracks the top 10! There are far better values in the 2022 Federated Auto Parts 400 starting lineup.

The model is also targeting TWO OTHER drivers with 2022 NASCAR at Richmond odds of 14-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag! Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who it is before locking in any NASCAR picks.

So who wins the 2022 Federated Auto Parts 400? And which long shots are a MUST-BACK? ... Join SportsLine right now to see the full projected NASCAR at Richmond leaderboard, all from the model that nailed five of Kyle Larson's wins last season!