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2021 Houston Open odds, picks: Proven golf model reveals projected leaderboard, surprising PGA projections

The SportsLine Projection Model simulated the Houston Open 2021 10,000 times and came up with a shocking leaderboard

By@Mike5754Updated: Nov 10, 2021 11:47PM UTC . 3 min read

The 2021-22 PGA Tour season continues this week with the 2021 Houston Open, which will be played at Memorial Park Golf Course in Houston, Texas. Caesars Sportsbook lists Sam Burns as the 16-1 favorite in its latest 2021 Houston Open odds, with Scottie Scheffler (18-1) and Sungjae Im (22-1) next in line.

We simulated the 2021 Houston Open 10,000 times, and there are some MAJOR surprises.

Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been RED-HOT since the PGA Tour resumed last June. In fact, it's up almost $10,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

Last week at the 2021 World Wide Technology Championship at Mayakoba, the model was all over Viktor Hovland (18-1) winning his third PGA Tour title. At the 2021 Open Championship, McClure's best bets included Collin Morikawa winning outright even though he was listed as a massive 40-1 long shot. He was also all over Daniel Berger (+220) and Emiliano Grillo (+700) finishing inside the top-20. McClure's best bets netted over $2,200 at the Open Championship.

In addition, McClure's model was all over Jon Rahm's (10-1) first career major championship victory at the 2021 U.S. Open. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected him as the winner. And at the 2021 Masters, McClure nailed Rahm's (+250) top-five finish in his best bets, as well as Corey Conners' (+550) top-10 showing. 

This same model has also nailed a whopping seven majors entering the weekend! Anyone who has followed it has seen MASSIVE returns!

One major surprise the model is calling for at the 2021 Houston Open: Sungjae Im, a two-time PGA Tour champion and one of the top favorites, stumbles this week and barely cracks the top 10! Another surprise: Brooks Koepka, a 30-1 long shot, makes a strong run at the title. He's a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday.

Also, the model is targeting THREE other golfers with odds longer than 28-1 who will make surprising runs! Anyone who backs these long shots could hit it BIG.

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