Leipzig have gone 13 games without keeping a clean sheet at home in a Champions League match. On the other hand, they have scored in 16 straight UCL matches at Red Bull Arena. The hosts have conceded at least once in 15 of their past 16 matches overall. They have scored in 13 of their past 14 – at least twice in 11 – and both teams scored in 12 of the 14. Their past four matches have seen 18 total goals. Real Madrid have scored at least twice in eight of their past nine and conceded in seven of those. With both defenses showing cracks, this should be a pretty high-scoring match.

Copenhagen managed a 0-0 home draw in last year’s group stage meeting, but City had a 5-0 first-leg victory in their pocket. This one should be more like the latter match. City have scored at least three goals in four of their past six overall, and Erling Haaland and Kevin De Bruyne are both healthy and tearing up defenses. The question is whether the hosts will score, but I don’t think it will matter. City are the reigning champs, while Copenhagen are making their first appearance in the knockout stage, and first since 2010-11. They’ll simply be overwhelmed.

This one is going to be fascinating. Second place in Group A is up for grabs, as Bayern Munich have clinched advancement and these teams are tied on five points. Manchester United have four and face Bayern, so a winner here would be through to the next round. Copenhagen have a one-goal edge in goal differential but won’t be sitting back and hoping for the best. Both teams will go for goals, and while don’t expect it to be like these teams’ goal-fests with United, they should get three or four between them. Eight of Galatasaray’s past 10 have gone Over 2.5, and five of Copenhagen’s past seven have done so. The last meeting ended 2-2, and this should be similar.

Both teams have a shot at the Europa League, so this is going to be a cagey match as both sides look to avoid mistakes. Sevilla have the edge in goal differential, and a victory by the Spaniards would give both sides five points. Sevilla are in dismal form, with one victory from their past eight in all competitions, but six went under 2.5 goals. Los Palanganas have draws in six of their past eight La Liga matches, so I am leaning slightly toward a low-scoring stalemate. Lens have the home-field advantage and have posted five clean sheets in their past eight games overall. Sevilla will have trouble getting on the board but could sneak one in for a 1-1 draw like the last meeting.

Sociedad have already qualified for the next round, but they would love to set up a chance to win the group. They take on Inter in the group finale, so they won’t let up here. Salzburg have been devastated by injuries, with up to 10 players who could be out Wednesday and youth players being brought in to fill some roles. The hardest hit area has been the back line. The Spaniards are almost fully fit and beat Salzburg 2-0 on the road in the first meeting. They have one draw and one loss (to Barcelona) in their past eight and should get a convincing victory at home. I expect them to score at least three, so anything from Salzburg would be a bonus.

Despite the 3-2 Galatasaray victory at Old Trafford last month, I’m not expecting a lot of goals here. But with Man U’s shaky back line, expecting to cash an Under on a Red Devils match is a fool’s errand. United are wracked by injuries, and top scoring threat Marcus Rashford is suspended after seeing red in the 4-3 loss to Copenhagen. I expect the visitors to be playing not to lose. Galatasaray should be, too, with a potential winner-take-all (well, second place) against Copenhagen to close group play Dec. 12. The hosts have won all six of their home league matches, with a 16-5 advantage in goals. They should beat beleaguered United at home.

These are evenly-matched teams, and they played to a 2-2 draw in Belgrade last month. They have scored nine goals and conceded 21 between them in eight combined matches in group play. Young Boys are 5-1-0 at home in Swiss Super League play, with 20 goals scored, while Red Star have scored 39 goals in their 15 Serbian SuperLiga matches. This is a step up in competition for both, but the teams combined for 38 shots and 15 on net in the last meeting. With both teams angling for a Europa League spot, I expect a back-and-forth affair. All eight matches in Group G have gone Over 2.5 goals so far.

Fresh off a 1-0 victory against Barcelona at home, the Ukrainians host a Royal Antwerp side that has yielded 14 goals in four group-stage matches. With Group H co-leaders Barca and Porto squaring off later Tuesday, Shakhtar can move into contention to advance. They beat the Belgians 3-2 on the road last month. Shakhtar have actually been better on the road in the Ukrainian Premier League, but Antwerp have won just one of eight Belgian Pro League road matches (1-4-3). The hosts should win this one by a couple of goals.

Los Blancos are on the brink of advancing with two games left, so I’d keep an eye on the starting lineups before making any picks here. Real star Jude Bellingham has a minor shoulder injury and could get some rest. Braga have played a lot of high-scoring games, with their five league matches at home seeing 27 goals combined, but I think they’ll be lucky to score at the Bernabeau. Real have outscored their league foes 10-2 in five home games, and 11 of their 15 overall matches this year have gone Under 3.5.

Benfica have been an excellent road team in league play, going 5-0-1 with a 13-7 goal advantage, but have yet to score in UCL group play. Sociedad have a 15-9 goal edge in their home league games while being outscored 6-5 on the road. They play a more open game on their turf, which could allow Benfica to finally get on the board. My gut is telling me to take the Over, but my brain won’t let me. Sociedad are the better side, and Benfica are on the brink of elimination and have a huge match with Sporting this weekend. The Portuguese side won’t give in easily, but I expect Sociedad to eke out a 2-1 victory.

Feyenoord look like the better side at the moment, and the Dutch Eredivisie’s second-place team won the first meeting 3-1 two weeks ago. But Lazio are at home, and while they sit eighth in the Italian league, they seem to be rounding into form. They have beaten two teams ahead of them in the Serie A table over the past month and lost to another 1-0 on the road. Lazio have conceded four goals in five home matches, while Feyenoord have allowed six in six on the road. This should be a low-scoring game, and I expect it to end 1-1.

The Magpies are capable of scoring outbursts, but they lost the last meeting 1-0 and this one is on the road. Dortmund also have a strong attack but have scored more than one goal just twice in their past six games. They also are a little more defense-minded at home and have scored one goal and conceded two in three group-stage matches. Newcastle are missing their most dangerous attacker, with Alexander Isak out injured. With both teams sitting on four points, two behind leader PSG in the group, they should play it safe and take their chances in their upcoming matches against the Parisians. This one could even end up scoreless.

Leipzig can light it up but can also make some mistakes in the back. They beat Young Boys 3-1, then lost by the same score to Man City. Belgrade also lost 3-1 to City and drew 2-2 with Young Boys. That’s four games, with all four going over 3.5. The Red Bulls have 19 goals in eight Bundesliga matches. Meanwhile, Red Star have scored two or more in 11 of their 14 matches in all competitions. If I had to pick a score, I’d go with Leipzig 3-1, which seems to be a theme in this group. But Belgrade’s attack could surprise, depending on the status of Osman Bukari, who has scored in both group matches but is recovering from a knock.

The Magpies are on a roll, and while I don’t expect a repeat of their annihilation of PSG, they should get the victory. I’m guessing more along the lines of 2-1. Newcastle beat the French powers 4-1 in their last group match, then cruised past Palace 4-0 in their league meeting at home Saturday. The Magpies are 5-2-0 in their past seven overall, with a 0-0 draw with AC Milan and a 2-2 EPL stalemate with West Ham, both on the road. Dortmund haven’t scored in their first two group matches but have yielded just two goals. Both sides are allowing one per game in league play. I wouldn’t bet Under 2.5, but I would lean Newcastle to win and Under 3.5.

The Portuguese side will be highly motivated to get back in the race in Group D, as they seek their first points. Losses to Salzburg and Inter Milan put them behind the 8-ball, but playing with desperation at home should give them the edge. They played more than 75 minutes with 10 men in the 2-0 loss to Salzburg, but they dominated most of the match. If they avoid the mistakes that haunted them against the Austrians, they’ll get the full points. They have outscored their home foes 7-0 in Primeira Liga play so far.