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Mike is a nationally-acclaimed NBA Fantasy expert, both season-long and DFS, who uses in-depth knowledge of every roster to find betting advantages. Over the past five seasons at SportsLine, Mike went 470-406 against the spread, returning $2,329 to $100 bettors (every play 1 unit). Twice recently, Mike was nominated for Basketball Writer of the Year by the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. Mike's work has appeared in Sports Illustrated as well as on Yahoo and RotoWire. Mike appears regularly on "Early Edge," SportsLine's popular daily betting show. For Mike Barner media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.
@rotomikebarnerDespite playing just 22 minutes in the Thunder’s blowout win in Game 2, Hartenstein finished with 14 points and eight rebounds. In Game 1, he recorded 12 points and nine rebounds across 29 minutes. Including the series against the Grizzlies, Hartenstein has combined for at least 20 points and rebounds in four of six playoff games. The Thunder need his size to battle with Nikola Jokic, so with him possibly playing upwards of 30 minutes in Game 3, I like him to hit this over.
Russell Westbrook is the only player off the bench that the Nuggets can count on right now. In just 22 minutes in Game 2, he scored 19 points. Excluding a game in which he left early with an injury, Westbrook has scored at least 14 points in each of his other seven playoff games. In a close contest in Game 1, Westbrook played 30 minutes and scored 18 points. I think the Nuggets should keep Game 3 close at home, so look for Westbrook to play enough to have a favorable opportunity to hit this over.
Anthony Edwards had 14 rebounds and two assists in Game 1. He has played a ton in the playoffs, averaging 41 minutes over six games. He turned those heavy minutes into averages of 9.3 rebounds and 5.5 assists. He has finished with at least 15 combined rebounds and assists in five of the six games. The Warriors don’t have a ton of size, which should help Edwards continue to accumulate rebounds. The Warriors should also focus their defense on slowing down Edwards, leaving him with more opportunities to rack up assists as he passes out of double teams. I like this over.
With Stephen Curry (hamstring) playing just 13 minutes in Game 1, the Warriors needed more scoring from Buddy Hield. He didn’t let them down, scoring 24 points over 40 minutes. He attempted 19 shots, eight of which came from behind the arc. Hield has logged at least 29 minutes in four playoff games and he scored at least 15 points in each of them. I expect Hield to play a lot in Game 2, so I’ll take this over.
Isaiah Hartenstein is going to play a key role in this series against Nikola Jokic. While he couldn’t slow down Jokic in Game 1, Hartenstein played 29 minutes. That was more than he played in any of the previous four games against the Grizzlies. He turned his increased role into 12 points and nine rebounds. He played at least 26 minutes both times he faced the Nuggets during the regular season and finished with at least 21 combined points and rebounds in both games. With a key role in hand, I like him to hit this over.
Russell Westbrook is the only player that the Nuggets can rely on off the bench right now. He scored 18 points and played 30 minutes in Game 1. The only other bench players to take the floor were Peyton Watson (15 minutes) and Julian Strawther (six minutes). Those two combined to score five points. Westbrook has played six full playoff games and he scored at least 14 points in each of them. This line is two points higher than when I took the over in Game 1, but I still like the over to hit.
Alex Caruso and Luguentz Dort combined for 34 points and nine three-pointers in Game 1. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 33 points and fell two assists shy of a triple-double. The Nuggets shot just 10-for-32 from behind the arc. Still, the Thunder lost. Nikola Jokic is going to dominate this series and Russell Westbrook has finally given the Nuggets a reliable member of their second unit. I expect the Thunder to win Game 2, but look for the Nuggets to keep it close enough to cover this big number.
Josh Hart logged 45 minutes with the Knicks winning in overtime in Game 1. He turned those heavy minutes into 28 combined points, rebounds and assists. In the Knicks seven playoff games, Hart has combined for at least 26 points, rebounds and assists six times. He faced the Celtics four times during the regular season and combined for at least 28 points, rebounds and assists three times. With plenty of minutes likely coming his way, look for him to stuff the stat sheet again in Game 2.
Buddy Hield has started four straight games for the Warriors. His best performance came in Game 7 against the Rockets when he scored 33 points. He logged at least 29 minutes in three games against the Rockets and he scored at least 15 points in each of those games. While the Timberwolves are a good defensive team, Hield scored at least 11 points in three of four games against them during the regular season. The Warriors are working with a tight rotation right now, so with the expectation that Hield plays around 25 minutes in Game 1, he has a favorable opportunity to score at least 10 points.
The Pacers pulled of the upset by defeating the Cavaliers in Game 1. The result was them becoming even more of an underdog for Game 2? Seems fishy. Yes, Darius Garland (toe) could return. However, this Pacers team is not afraid of the spotlight and have plenty of potent scoring options. The Cavaliers won’t shoot 23.7% from behind the arc again like they did in Game 1, so I think they do win Game 2. However, I like the Pacers to keep things close enough to cover this big number.
Russell Westbrook is one of the few players that the Nuggets can count on off the bench right now. Excluding the game that he went down with an injury, Westbrook logged at least 23 minutes in all five of his other games against the Clippers. He scored at least 14 points in all five of those games. The Thunder ranked first in defensive rating during the regular season, but Westbrook just had a lot of success against a Clippers team that finished third in defensive rating. With a leading bench role coming his way again, I think Westbrook stays hot in Game 1 against the Thunder.
Jayson Tatum closed out the Magic by scoring at least 35 points in each of the final three games of their series. That’s a Magic team that had the second-best defensive rating in the league during the regular season. The Knicks ranked 13th in defensive rating. Tatum faced the Knicks four times this season and scored 37, 40, 25 and 32 points in those games. With a ton of minutes and shot attempts likely coming his way again, over is the way to go here.
Draymond Green has not surpassed 20 combined points, rebounds and assists in any game of this series against the Rockets. He did not surpass 14 combined in any of the three games in Houston. He’s not looking to score much, averaging 6.8 shot attempts per game in this series. He is also shooting just 36.6% from the field. I’ll take this under again.