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With a key number plus the hook, this lines up as a decent value position on an Air Force team that has won two straight following a dismal 1-7 start. Erratic Nevada stayed within one score of No. 12-ranked Boise State last week, but the Wolf Pack have had trouble maintaining momentum and have just one home win against FBS competition. Moreover, inclement weather conditions favor the Falcons' triple-option, time-draining attack.
That wasn't Air Force we saw on the field into November. The Falcons team we've seen this month? That's the Force we know! Back-to-back wins and three straight covers signal a turnaround, and the familiar option has started to cook, first for 344 YR and 45:08 of possession in beating Fresno, then another 271 YR and 41:56 of possession in last week's punishing 28-0 shutout of Oregon State. Better late than never on the switch to quick-footed soph QB Quentin Hayes, too, whose playmaking ability is superior to early-season starter John Busha. The Wolf Pack has had an extra week to prepare for the option, but Nevada owns only the 95th-ranked rush defense and has surrendered 26 rush TDs. Play Air Force