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The wagering marketplace still seems to be attaching a premium to NIU, likely due to that Notre Dame upset two months ago. More illuminating, maybe, is the Huskies' 1-3 SU conference mark that has made them an also-ran in the MAC, as losses to Toledo and Ball State have dropped NIU from the race and made bowl eligibility a question. Using two QBs (Ethan Hampton and Josh Holst) has not helped offensive continuity. Meanwhile, the Broncos have won all four of their MAC games, scoring 45 pg in the process, as QB Hayden Wulff has an 11 TDP/1 pick ratio in MAC play. Note the underdog side is 20-4-1 vs. the line in NIU's last 25 games vs. FBS-level opposition. Play Western Michigan
This is one of those fishy MACtion point spreads that doesn't make a ton of sense on paper. I personally think Northern Illinois is still being overvalued following their massive upset win over Notre Dame, and the Huskies simply aren't playing well right now. Western Michigan is rolling and will be getting points at home (where it is 3-1 against the spread this season). NIU will likely be the toughest defense WMU faces in MAC play, but I still like the Broncos to cover and possibly win outright here.