Underdogs tend to fare well in the MAC Championship Game, going 12-5-1 ATS since 2005. Miami is 10-1 SU and 9-2 in it's last 11 games, with a 21-17 loss to Toledo counting against them in both categories. The RedHawks boast a solid defense, giving up only 16.3 points per game and should be able to once again hold the potent Toledo offense somewhat in check. I still think the Rockets will win though. Toledo 23, Miami (Ohio) 19.