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The Aggies have a defensive line full of five-stars who gave Alabama's offensive line fits last week. They should be able to slow down the Vols' rushing attack. Meanwhile the Texas A&M offense faces a tough task against Tennessee's defense (17.8 points per game) in front of 100,000-plus fans. I'll take the Under.
Can Joe Milton evade the best pass rush in the nation? He looked hurt while scrambling vs. South Carolina. A local Knoxville report today confirmed my suspicions: Milton has been dealing with a ribs injury, on top of the lingering knee injury. The Aggies will be able to shut the Vols' run-first offense, allowing just 2.6 yards/carry and just one (1!) rushing TD all year. TAMU will force Milton to throw, which is... not great. He's thrown 3 INT in his last 3 games. His season completion rate is 63%, and it plummets to 47% when he's blitzed (worst in SEC). Good luck against an Aggies defense that blitzes 40% of the time.
Texas A&M’s pass defense numbers on the season as a whole aren’t bad, but look under the hood a little bit and you’ll find they are helped by the ineffective passing attacks at New Mexico, ULM and Auburn. D.J. Durkin’s defense gave up 374 yards and five passing touchdowns to Miami earlier this season and then gave up 321 yards and three passing touchdowns to Alabama last week. If competent passing attacks have been able to light up this secondary for big plays, I think Tennessee can do so as well.