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Sorry for the late play but I'm just now seeing all the excellent players who have been ruled out for the Buckeyes in what already lined up as a massive trap game. Purdue does has a rep for knocking off highly ranked teams who visit West Lafayette. A win here with how short-handed OSU is would not surprise at all.
Ohio State’s offense has slowly gotten more comfortable while the defense has been menacing allowing just 10.2 ppg and 264 ypg which has helped four of its five games stay Under the total. But I think in this spot at West Lafayette, QB Harrison Card has a better grip on the offense. I’m not saying an upset will happen, but they’ll put points on the board at home. This total should be closer to 59, so how about something like Ohio State 39-20? Over is the play.
They don't call them the Spoilermakers for nothing. Purdue has beaten Ohio State outright in three of the last four meetings in West Lafayette, and there could be some value in backing a Boilermakers team that's returning home after a frustrating loss at Iowa. The Buckeyes' offense has really struggled to run the football, and I'm not sure the return of TreyVeon Henderson will fix those issues. It's enough to keep the margin smaller than this spread suggests.