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Iowa State has one of the top defenses in the nation. The Cyclones rank eighth nationally in total and scoring defense, but they are almost as bad on offense as they are good on defense. TCU has ridden a powerful offense to an undefeated season, but the Horned Frogs will probably have to rely more on their defense this time. They have won that way too. ISU has not given up more than 31 points in a game this season. If they can hold TCU to no more than 35, the under should hit.
It's been a great story and a fun ride for the Horned Frogs, who continued their undefeated season by a thread with a walk-off field goal last week against Baylor despite being outplayed by the Bears most of the way. TCU could finish the regular season with a spotless record but the lone remaining obstacle could be a nightmare. Six of Iowa State's seven losses have come by single figures, and the last two knocked the Cyclones from bowl contention. Needless to say, this is their bowl equivalent and this Matt Campbell-coached club should give the Frogs all they can handle.