It hurts me to pick against Air Force as the Falcons have been very profitable for me this season. This will be matchup of opposites as the Falcons will run all night and the Wolf Pack pass behind Carson Strong, who might be the first NFL QB taken in next year's draft. Strong will get his favorite target back in Cole Turner, perhaps the nation's top receiving tight end. He missed last week's loss to San Diego State. This will be his home finale and perhaps for Coach Jay Norvell, who has been rumored to take over at both Washington and Washington State. If this comes down to the kickers, Nevada has a huge edge. The Wolf Pack also have won nine straight at home.

You know I love option teams, especially Air Force because of its ability to throw the ball, which makes them a 'quadruple-option.' What I've seen so far from Nevada's defense is that it tends to struggle against teams that can run the football, such as Fresno State, San Diego State and Kansas State. Guess what they will see 85 percent of the time from the Falcons?