There are three ways you can look at TCU's upset over Baylor last weekend: A) The Frogs played inspired ball after coach Gary Patterson stepped down; B) Baylor was caught looking ahead or C) The Horned Frogs simplified things on both sides of the ball, and their execution level increased. Oklahoma State is a really good team, but offensively it's hard to know which offense will show up on gameday. I expect this one to be closer than folks think.

TCU upset Baylor last week playing without starting QB Max Duggan and top tailback Zach Evans, and then No. 2 running back Kendre Miller got hurt and left. Doesn't sound like Evans or Duggan will play in this one at a minimum. Hard to see TCU scoring more than perhaps 17 points against the best defense in the Big 12 and maybe second-best in the country behind Georgia. OSU has held its last two opponents to a combined total of six points and an average of 138.0 yards of total offense. Okie State isn't an explosive offensive team these days, so I don't see the Pokes scoring more than about 35 and thus this should stay Under 54.5.