Notre Dame has one of the largest ticket count disparities at Las Vegas sportsbooks of any game on Saturday. Usually, public weight like that scares me off a game, but I had already bet the game and I’m good with the pick. Notre Dame has gotten physical and smarter on the offensive line the last two games in wins against Virginia Tech and USC. The running game featured Kyren Williams, and he responded. UNC lost its only two games away from Chapel Hill (Virginia Tech and Georgia Tech). Notre Dame gets the cover.

The Fighting Irish have played the tougher schedule, which I respect a great deal. North Carolina has a +1.2 net yards per play differential, while Notre Dame has a -0.1 differential. That's a massive difference, especially in this spot. The big advantage for the Tar Heels is on the offensive line. North Carolina is ranked No. 19, while Notre Dame is ranked No. 97 at Football Outsiders. UNC has revenge on its mind from last year's loss and had two weeks to prepare. ND defeated USC last week despite getting outgained 424-383. Red flag. The Fighting Irish are 1-3 SU & ATS after playing the Trojans in the past four.