Western Kentucky has bounced back rather nicely since getting upset by Central Arkansas in Week 1. However, I don't trust the Hilltoppers defense's ability to stop UAB's running game. That inability to get off the field on third down will prove to be their undoing. And defensively the Blazers have been consistent this season. Take UAB.

The Blazers are 3-0 and I like them to keep rolling Saturday at Western Kentucky, as they're covering about 60 percent of my simulations. Even with the Hilltoppers off a bye, they've been a bad bet at home. Lay the small number.