Spotting an underdog this many points can be dicey in these quirky tournaments where motivation is difficult to gauge. Illinois State holds a fitness advantage, as UIW and its short rotation engages in its third game in three days. Two starters played every minute Sunday and Monday, while the three others averaged in the low-to-mid 30s. The favored Redbirds shed two weeks of rust with a so-so win Monday as none of its regulars logged enough time to be spent. They pulled away with a 45-point outburst in the second half. It is difficult to back a team like the Cardinals with a negative points differential this season.

Incarnate Word has been playing at a pace in Daytona Beach more suited for the Speedway, scoring at a 90 pg clip in the CBI with wins over Manhattan and Jacksonville. The rims at the Ocean Center seem to be loose, as the Cards have hit better than 56% from the floor vs. the Jaspers and better than 54% vs. the Dolphins, as both games blew well beyond the posted totals. Note ICW G Dylan Hayman has games of 28 and 29 points in his last three outings. Meanwhile, the Redbirds do a few things pretty well, among them shooting beyond the arc at better than 37.4% (ranks respectable 28th nationally). Play Incarnate Word - Illinois State Over (CBI at Daytona Beach).