Georgia Mason averages 71.3 points per game, Bradley is even better at 76.6. While both defenses are formidable, simple math suggests they should not be able to keep each other in the 60s. The Braves stand 17-13 on Overs and have hit or exceeded the 70 mark in all but one of their last seven outings. Mason remains sub-.500 but has gone over four in a row. The Patriots’ NIT opener produced a whopping 155. As a rule, postseason tournaments not named NCAA shouldn’t carry such modest totals.

Potent Samford found out about GMU's sticky D (63.5 ppg/12th) on Wednesday. Tony Skinn's troops also lead the nation in defensive FG percentage (only 38%), and gang up on the perimeter, allowing only 30.4% triples. That's meaningful on Saturday in Fairfax, as Bradley enters as one of the nation's leaders in three-point accuracy (39.8%/ranks 3rd). It's been a distracting week, however, for the Braves, who watched second (Darius Hannah) and third (Zek Montgomery) leading scorers opt out before the NIT, only to see Hannah rescind and play well vs. UNA off the bench when scoring 17. But the offense was choppy, only 39.7% FGs and 29.6% beyond the arc, and the Braves hit Fairfax with six straight under results. Play Bradley-GMU Under (NIT)