Omaha is already going dancing regardless of if they win or lose this game. The Tommies are ineligible for the tournament since they recently made the move to D-I. Both teams have been dominating in this tournament, both holding their opponents to under 65 points per game, on average, and performing at a high rate offensively. However, since St. Thomas won’t be in the big dance, this game should mean a lot more to them. While the Mavericks have a big edge on the glass, St. Thomas has been creating, on average, 18 turnovers over their last three games and should have a chip on their shoulder to capture the conference title.

Conference finals in win-or-go-home situations tend to draw relatively low totals because of the pressure bearing down on teams. This matchup warrants an asterisk. St. Thomas is not eligible for the NCAA Tournament while still stuck in the transition process from a lower division, which means Omaha already wears the crown. Both sides should play loose, as they did in the two regular season meetings while scoring a combined 167 and 179. The Tommies are tallying more than all but 14 teams in D-1, while both rank in the high 200s for points allowed. Tommies games have averaged 158 points, with 153 for the Mavericks. This modest total should be hurdled.