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Understanding Public and Money
Lots of overs in Duke-UNC lately after the Blue Devils didn't have much trouble at Cameron Indoor on February 1 when racing to a 47-25 halftime lead over UNC and cruising home. The 87-70 scoreline resembled several others from recent years in this hottest of Tobacco Road rivalries. Both are also scoring up a storm in recent games, especially Duke, putting up more points than some NBA teams, scoring 110, 97, 100, and 93 in successive games into tonight, with Cooper Flagg hitting seemingly higher notes every game (28 on Monday vs. Wake). Meanwhile, the Heels have scored 81 or more in all six of their current win streak for Hubert Davis, with different leading scorers each of the past four games. Play Duke-UNC Over
Duke's offense is on an absolute war path right now and its contributed to each of the last six games going over the total. And while North Carolina's three-point shooting seems to be at an unsustainable clip during this six-game winning streak, the expectation is shots will continue to fall in the comfy confines of the Dean E. Smith Center. The total has gone over in each of the last seven games for the Tar Heels, so it would be significant regression across the board to see a lower-scoring battle in this rivalry game.
Cooper Flagg gets one trip to Chapel Hill at a time when he seems particularly out for blood. That plays for me. Duke has covered 6 in a row. They have 7 straight wins by 18+ and have sored 93 or more in 5 of last 6 games. Duke is 7-2 ATS as a road favorite and 6-2 ATS with extreme rest. Duke led the first meeting 47-25 at the half before taking their foot off the gas a bit. Heels are just 2-6-1 ATS as a dog and 7-7 ATS overall at home. UNC just 10th in ACC in scoring defense and Duke is allowing just 62/G in conference. Run it back!