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Sat, Mar 0811:30 pm UTCDean E. Smith Center
Track OnCBS Sports
Duke
Blue Devils
DUKE
Last 5 ATS
W/L25-3
ATS21-10
O/U16-15-0
FINAL SCORE
82
-
69
North Carolina
Tar Heels
UNC
Last 5 ATS
W/L19-12
ATS12-20
O/U17-14-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
25-3
Win /Loss
19-12
21-10
Spread
12-20
16-15-0
Over / Under
17-14-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
DUKE @ UNC
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MONEYLINE
DUKE @ UNC
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OVER / UNDER
DUKE @ UNC
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72%
PUBLIC
28%
MONEY
97%
PUBLIC
3%
MONEY
Over60%
PUBLIC
Under40%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Over / UnderOver 156.5 -115
LOSS
Unit1.0
+2484
106-73-1 in Last 180 NCAAB Picks
+2109
40-17 in Last 57 NCAAB O/U Picks
+91
2-1 in Last 3 DUKE O/U Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

Lots of overs in Duke-UNC lately after the Blue Devils didn't have much trouble at Cameron Indoor on February 1 when racing to a 47-25 halftime lead over UNC and cruising home. The 87-70 scoreline resembled several others from recent years in this hottest of Tobacco Road rivalries. Both are also scoring up a storm in recent games, especially Duke, putting up more points than some NBA teams, scoring 110, 97, 100, and 93 in successive games into tonight, with Cooper Flagg hitting seemingly higher notes every game (28 on Monday vs. Wake). Meanwhile, the Heels have scored 81 or more in all six of their current win streak for Hubert Davis, with different leading scorers each of the past four games. Play Duke-UNC Over

Pick Made: Mar 08, 7:12 pm UTC on FanDuel
Over / UnderOver 156.5 -115
LOSS
Unit1.0
+327
8-4-1 in Last 13 NCAAB Picks
+287
13-9 in Last 22 NCAAB O/U Picks
+152
4-2 in Last 6 DUKE O/U Picks
Chip's Analysis:

Duke's offense is on an absolute war path right now and its contributed to each of the last six games going over the total. And while North Carolina's three-point shooting seems to be at an unsustainable clip during this six-game winning streak, the expectation is shots will continue to fall in the comfy confines of the Dean E. Smith Center. The total has gone over in each of the last seven games for the Tar Heels, so it would be significant regression across the board to see a lower-scoring battle in this rivalry game.

Pick Made: Mar 08, 1:45 pm UTC on FanDuel
Point SpreadDuke -10.5 -115
WIN
Unit1.0
+1656
76-53-1 in Last 130 NCAAB Picks
+288
25-20 in Last 45 NCAAB ATS Picks
+85
2-1 in Last 3 UNC ATS Picks
Jason's Analysis:

Cooper Flagg gets one trip to Chapel Hill at a time when he seems particularly out for blood. That plays for me. Duke has covered 6 in a row. They have 7 straight wins by 18+ and have sored 93 or more in 5 of last 6 games. Duke is 7-2 ATS as a road favorite and 6-2 ATS with extreme rest. Duke led the first meeting 47-25 at the half before taking their foot off the gas a bit. Heels are just 2-6-1 ATS as a dog and 7-7 ATS overall at home. UNC just 10th in ACC in scoring defense and Duke is allowing just 62/G in conference. Run it back!

Pick Made: Mar 07, 7:52 pm UTC on FanDuel

Team Injuries

Duke Blue Devils
Sunday, Apr 27, 2025
Avatar
C
Khaman Maluach
Pro Draft Prep
Wednesday, Apr 23, 2025
Avatar
G
Kon Knueppel
Pro Draft Prep
Monday, Apr 21, 2025
Avatar
G
Cooper Flagg
Pro Draft Prep
Saturday, Apr 19, 2025
Avatar
G
Tyrese Proctor
Pro Draft Prep
North Carolina Tar Heels
Saturday, May 10, 2025
Avatar
G
RJ Davis
Not Injury Related
Wednesday, Apr 23, 2025
Avatar
G
Drake Powell
Pro Draft Prep

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
66%
20-10
12-19
38%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
69%
9-4
7-7
50%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or PK
65%
19-10
2-6
25%
When Spread was -11.5 to -7.5
SPREAD
When Spread was +7.5 to +11.5
100%
3-0
0-0
0%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
66%
8-4
0-0
0%
vs Teams That Win 50-65% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >65% of Games
77%
7-2
4-9
30%
vs Teams Allowing >72 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing <67 PPG
75%
9-3
4-7
36%
After 4+ Days Off
REST
After 4+ Days Off
70%
14-6
8-8
50%
vs UNC
HEAD TO HEAD
vs DUKE
100%
1-0
0-1
0%
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