Hampton can win the kind of ugly game Drexel likes. They shut them down two weeks ago, despite not turning them over as much as I thought they would. Pirates have become very frustrating to play, The backcourt of George Beale, Jr and Noah Farrakhan were too much for Dragons to handle, and Pirates can bang with them for second-chance shots. Too much of a premium on the home court here. Pirates have reinvented themselves and I expect it to play on the road (have played home-heavy sked lately after a brutal stretch to open CAA play). Pirates can hold them below 60 points again. Drexel barely shooting over 30% from 3 last 4 games. Dragons just 4-3 at home in CAA. Hampton to win.

Hampton turned its season around. It has become a defensive powerhouse and its guard play has become a strength. They have won 5 in a row, all by 5 points, and shutdown Drexel at home allowing just 58 points. Pirates are allowing just 60 ppg during their win streak. They've covered 5 in a row by 23.5, 19, 20.5, 6.5, 15.5. Teams have almost identical +/- in conference. Drexel is just 4-3 at home in CAA, and score just 68 ppg in conference. Hampton outmuscled them in first meeting. They have covered 5 in a row at home but this is a big number for them to lay. Pirates soaring up bracket in CAA tourney and playing with confidence.