Purdue is off a road loss to the Wolverines and return home to play a Wisconsin team with a lot of experience, top 40 in the nation. The Boilermakers have a top 30 defense in terms of efficiency but when defending inside the arc, they’re allowing their opponent to shoot 54%. Wisconsin’s seven-footer, Steven Crowl, has a favorable matchup on the inside due to his size as the Boilermakers may the presence of Zach Edey in games like this. Wisconsin has covered five of the last six and are currently lead the nation in free throw percentage, if it comes down to it.

The Badgers are feisty enough to pull off the upset but they aren't going to do it with a lockdown defensive performance. This is a game that sets up for a high-scoring affair, and the fact that Purdue home overs are hitting at a 69% rate on the season doesn't hurt the matchup edge. Purdue and Wisconsin rank No. 1 and No. 2 in offensive efficiency in conference play, setting up for a back-and-forth affair that favors the over.