This Patriot matchup doesn't shape up as a shootout in Bethlehem. Partly because Lehigh has been hampered for the past month without top scorer G Keith Higgins, Jr (17.9 ppg), and only in an outlier result vs. Lafayette eight days ago have the Mountain Hawks reached 70 points in Patriot action. Meanwhile, this is Matt Langel's lowest-scoring Colgate team since the 2016-17 campaign. Moreover, there is recent series history, including the Raiders' grinding 67-62 win at Hamilton on January 8. Before that, three meetings last season, including in the Patriot Tourney, all scorelines landing in the 120s, which on top of the January 8 clash makes it four in a row in the 120s between these two since last season. Play Colgate-Lehigh Under

Colgate won the first meeting by 5, despite forcing 3s and going 2/13 behind the arc in the first half. They lobbed it low after that, had 38-16 advantage in paint and a 43-32 rebound advantage and pulled away. On the season, they're third in Patriot League in 3 point shooting. Lehigh 4-8 ATS in last 12, and 2-9 ATS as a dog. Colgate 12-5 ATS last 17 games in this series and 9-1 in last 10 with average score of 74-63. Colgate's recent form gives me a little pause, so we're going ML over laying the points. If they stick to a Keep It Simple offensive approach, they may win easy. Lehigh is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games.