I got a total here with Valparaiso and Belmont that's almost 20 points lower than what I have it at. The total is 158, which looks high, but this thing should be 178. Belmont averages a score of 81-79 on the season and Valparaiso averages a 73-73 score. Belmont has set the tempo this season getting over 11 out of 16 games. Over is the play.

In both college basketball plays today I’m backing teams coming off season lows in points. Valparaiso scored just forty seven points in their loss to Murray State. Yet, they’ve showed fight in-conference taking Bradley and Indiana State to overtime. Belmont has also been susceptible over their last nine games three have been losses, and six wins were all by seven points or fewer. Grab the underdog here with Valparaiso.