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Denver Pioneers games generate points at a pace rivaling the NBA franchise in their town. South Dakota State also can score at a rapid clip, but the Jackrabbits' slow pace (321st in D-I for possessions per outing) suggests that there is little chance the winning side reaches the 90s, as it did in both regular season meetings. Each team has eased off the gas in the tournament, with Denver games producing 121 and 129 points -- vastly below their norm in the 160s. The 'Rabbits opened with a 142 game, but the semifinal one plunged to 108. Unless the Nuggets replace the Pioneers in this finals, the Under should score.
No. 7 seed Denver has made a stirring run to the Summit Tournament final, but I like the Jackrabbits to roll to the championship. South Dakota State has won seven straight, including a 97-70 home win over the Pioneers. The Jackrabbits just held St. Thomas to 49 points in the tourney semis. Look for Zeke Mayo (18.9 ppg, 5.8 rpg, 3.5 apg) to bounce back from a subpar offensive performance and lead South Dakota State to a win and cover.