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The Orange have little shot if this is a track meet and should be able to manage the pace some at home. SU scored 67 points the last time these teams met in Chapel Hill a few weeks ago, which would be great news tonight ... but SU also allowed 103 points. If we go by what both average offensively and defensively, this would land Under. The Heels aren't usually nearly as good offensively away and have scored 72, 73 and 75 in their past three road games. If that continues, this should be money.
This is a meeting of the No. 2 and No. 3 teams in the ACC in terms of tempo during conference play, as well as the No. 2 and No. 3 teams in the ACC in free throw rate during conference play. With both teams pushing the pace and doing a good job of getting to the line, I'm expecting we'll get plenty of possessions and points when the clock is stopped. It's a boat load of points to cover but when considering how North Carolina's defense has taken a step back over the last four games this matchup makes it easy to see how we could get to 160.