Oregon upset Washington 76-74 as 4.5-point road underdogs on January 4th. The Huskies matchup quite well against the Ducks. This line is now inflated after opening at six. We are getting great value on the underdog. Speaking of underdogs, they are 7-3 ATS in the last ten meetings. Play Washington in this major overlay!

Bubbly Oregon has not been especially convincing lately, either, losing four of their last six. Dana Altman is hoping to have star-crossed 7-footer Nate Bittle available again after he missed last weekend’s games in Los Angeles due to illness. But the adjustments Altman has made for the various absences have conspired to detour the Webfoots just enough to keep their March prospects up in the air, as Altman has had to re-accommodate the offense to bigs N'Faly Dante (and Bittle) after adjusting to a small-ball style in the absence of the big men for two months. Star frosh G Jackson Shelstad seems to have been particularly impacted, having scored in mere single digits three times in the past five games. Play UW

Washington has been an over bettor's dream lately. The last four games involving the Huskies have totaled 170, 179, 171 and 177 points with the winning team reaching 90 each time. Look for that trend to continue Thursday vs. Oregon. The Ducks' perimeter-oriented offense will feast on a Washington defense that ranks last in the Pac-12 at defending the three, allowing conference opponents to shoot just under 40% from long range. On the other side, I expect the undersized Oregon guards to struggle defending the red-hot Keion Brooks. Brooks has scored 20+ points in seven of his last eight games and should have little trouble getting to the rim versus Oregon's soft interior defense. I make this total 158.5, so I'll go over 155.