Oakland is 6-0 ATS to start the season. The Grizzlies had nice covers on the road at Ohio State and Illinois. Xavier is 3-0 at home with a +20.7-point differential. The Musketeers also have a top-20 defense in terms of efficiency. Most of Oakland’s point come from beyond the arc and the Musketeers guard the perimeter well, holding opponents 27.3%. Xavier will push the pace and is the more athletic team.

My model has this total at 156. I was surprised to see that both teams are 4-2 under so far this season but they both have very close unders. Oakland has three games that had a total difference of 11 points from all three going over. Xavier has three games that had a difference of 17 total points from all three going over. Together they can put up a big number.