These teams already have played a tight contest, which Old Dominion won 70-68. I expect another tight one. I'm grabbing the points with Texas State.

Old Dominion comes off their huge win over Marshall to end the regular season. Texas St. has under-performed this season as they’ve done very well in the Sun Belt over the last two seasons, winning it last season. The Monarchs have the superior defense here but it’s their offense where they struggle. They’re shooting 45.8 percent effectively over their last three games while Texas St. has been shooting 52.2 percent. The Bobcats are the better free-throw shooting team at 83.3 percent over their last three and are the more experience team despite a lackluster season. I’m on Texas St.